Beat the Streak Report: Tuesday, June 22

480x270_Fielder.jpg

The writing was on the wall as soon as the schedule was released.
Once it was clear that there were only three games on Monday’s bill
with four of the six teams being the Nationals, Royals, Athletics and
D-backs (with the Yankees and Reds being the other options), it was
clear that an absurd amount of the Beat the Streak nation would put all
their eggs in the Robinson Cano and Derek Jeter basket.

I cautioned that such strategy was mighty risky should Arizona
starter Rodrigo Lopez somehow stymie the Bombers and put some extra hot
sauce on his fastball.

I was right. Sort of.

A staggering 67.2 percent of all streakers selected either
Robinson Cano (45.7 percent) or Derek Jeter (21.5 percent) last night.
And as Jeter (0-for-3) fans know, the hot sauce was a comin’.

As for Cano, the man who has shredded opposing pitching all
season long to the tune of a Major League-leading .365 batting average,
he kept his streakers on a full-blown sweaty palms panic attack watch
all night by waiting until his final at-bat in the eighth inning to
loop a single.

Unfortunately, Michael Young and the Rangers were not playing, as
“fromomma” decided to roll the dice with the wrong Yankee for the
night.

Which means for now, Dick George (Cano) is our lone ranger with a 38-game streak.

Time for Tuesday’s picks

Oh, hello there …

? Kevin Kouzmanoff: .688 AVG (11-for-16) lifetime vs. Reds starter Bronson Arroyo

? Austin Kearns: .438 AVG (7-for-16) lifetime vs. Phillies starter Jaime Moyer

? Prince Fielder: .412 AVG (7-for-17) lifetime vs. Twins starter Scott Baker

? Casey Blake: .429 AVG (6-for-14) lifetime vs. Angels starter Ervin Santana

Feeling kinda spicy?

? Juan Uribe:
.545 AVG (6-for-11) lifetime vs. Astros starter Roy Oswalt. Uribe has
one hit in his last 11 at-bats. Roy Oswalt pitches well for a living. I
say stay away.

You’ll thank me later …

? Hunter Pence: .111 AVG (2-for-18) lifetime vs. Giants starter Tim Lincecum

? Manny Ramirez: .091 AVG (1-for-11) lifetime vs. Angels starter Ervin Santana

? Ryan Braun: .154 AVG (2-for-13) lifetime vs. Twins starter Scott Baker

? Marlon Byrd: .143 AVG (2-for-11) lifetime vs. Mariners starter Jason Vargas

Leaderboard time!

Riding high with a 35-game streak is “kbarr9″ who also selected Cano
last night. “kbarr9″ is 61.4 percent on the way to the $3,000,000. Ya
know, assuming Dick George goes down in flames first.

Top MLB streakers

? Josh Hamilton: 16 games

? Jose Guillen: 16 games

? Jason Kubel: 12 games

? Jeff Mathis: 12 games

? Garrett Jones: 11 games 

38 Comments

Today I have Ichiro in BTS. At 0 so figured why not. Tex in HR BTS and Rangers in Survivor. Lost my streak with the Yanks but it’s ok.

No mention of survivor today??? it was a pure massacre!
72.9% waved good bye to their streak….It was alsmot a guarantee: Yankees playing at 10pm eastern time, no day off, with ‘unpredictable’ Burnett on the mound, and a struggling Jeter…
Well, today I have the Rangers over the Pirates (it’s never a bad move to pick against the Pirates, especially when they have Ohlendorf on the mound).

Had Ichie but am giving Kouz another shot. Also at 0…

I hate the Yanks, so i never touch the yankees… worked out for me last night.. 5 gamer in survivor and 11 gamer in bts… see you guys at the finish line!

i got david wright for BTS, he’s a beast

Giants for survivor, they have yet to let me down when linny is pitching

annnnd mark reynolds came through for me last night (well i guess when you bat .215 and have 15+ HRs, your only hits tend to be out of the park) so i’m following him up with Morneau

should be good! good luck everyone and i wish you all a safe recovery!

Let’s hope Cano accomplishes what he couldn’t yesterday. Here it to hoping Haren brings out his A game for a 1-hitter complete shutout! And that hit goes to Granderson. LOL!

haha…here’s my prediction…the Yanks couldn’t beat Rodrigo Lopez yesterday so u know what they’ll do today? Go out & beat an ace in Haren.

Well, that was fast!

Back to a 1-game hit streak!

Today’s Top Picks of the current Top2500. All games included, 134 different batters selected overall
Batter, Times Picked, Percentage
Josh Hamilton, 332, 13.28%
Justin Morneau, 219, 8.76
Derek Jeter, 206, 8.24
Robinson Cano, 171, 6.84
Prince Fielder, 156, 6.24
Austin Kearns, 135, 5.4
Vladimir Guerrero, 123, 4.92
Michael Young, 78, 3.12
Joe Mauer, 78, 3.12
Dustin Pedroia, 69, 2.76
Ichiro Suzuki, 66, 2.64
Martin Prado, 66, 2.64
Miguel Cabrera, 62, 2.48
… No Selection, 34, 1.36
Highest “No Selection”: Page 6 with a streak of 16 now reset to zero
Yesterday saw 27% Top2500 streaks come to an end
Bloggers Group Top2500
UserName, Streak, Page#, Pick
blanco21, 14, pg14, Ryan Howard
cojobs, 9, pg66, Josh Hamilton

Hamilton’s the only guy on that list that I considered picking.

Could it happen 2 days in a row for our leader dick.george? What you ask? Cano gets only hit on last AB. Tonite 0-fer thru 7 and spot due up in 9th. With a 1-run lead, extra innings could be in play too. Possibilities…

And that’s exactly what happened, Cano gets hit on last AB. Leader has some serious mojo going on right now!

Wow. How much BS luck with this guy have? This is getting ridiculous. I am sure he did not pick Cano to get hit off a high school relief pitcher.

A team like Arizona should be banished from MLB. They sould go compete against AAA clubs. That is all they’re. So they’re down by a run and they send in a clown to pitch.

They replaced the clown with Chad Qualls with 9 ERA. Why is this guy even in baseball?

This is BS. Three days of BS luck. I hope he cloks tomorrow!

This is BS. Three days of BS luck. I hope he cloks tomorrow!

@lavolpe: Still not worried?

Me worried? Ask me on Monday. I generally don’t hold my breath until one gets into the mid-40s. But leader has been really lucky so far; don’t know whether he’ll ride Ichiro, Cano, M&M boys, or other big ticket players. I know I’d be tempted to ride high average players if I got in the 40s. But remember, he just passed the 2/3 point yesterday, today is the 1st day of is final 19 game hitting streak.

Three days of bad picks, 3 days of luck. Does this happen to any other BTSers?

@lavolpe: Yes. But he just got away with 3 deaths. He is due for some easy picks which is what makes this scary.

Seriously, teams like Arizona who cannot compete realistically and use high school caliber players should not play MLB. This is a joke. Chad Qualls. How does a guy have such record and still pitch?

The whole team is made up of homegrown “talents” and rejects from around the league. I am wondering does anybody even go watch Arizona games. What a pathetic excuse of a team.

The whole team is made up of homegrown “talents” and rejects from around the league. I am wondering does anybody even go watch Arizona games. What a pathetic excuse of a team.

Throughout anyone streaks, there are easy picks. But sometimes those easy picks are the ones that send one back to zero. He can’t really afford to play it safe by picking to-be-on-DL players either since his competition is right behind him. If one tries that strategy waiting on a “gimme”, then the opportunity exists for the 2nd place leader to leap frog ahead of him. He’ll also be 2nd guessing himself to death; we all just have to wait and see.

Holy cow. Qualls is their closer. What a joke. They barely win as it is and their closer blows 4 saves and loses with ERA of 9.

@But sometimes those easy picks are the ones that send one back to zero.

But that never happens with top streakers. Outside of the freak events, you’ll know when that day might be the day they’ll go down. Last 3 days, I knew it soon as I saw the picks. They just were not good picks. Ok, yesterday he was handicapped by 3 games but Prado and Cano today were not good picks. I just hope the pressure of high streak gets to him and he is forced to make lemming picks.

A guy who hits .360 can rarely be considered a bad pick, especially facing Haren who has give up the most hits in baseball…not to mention Arizona has the worst bullpen too.

“How does a guy have such record and still pitch?”

I remember Qualls from the Astros magical run in 2006, when they nearly made up 10 games in the standings to pass the Cardinals with only 15 days left in the standings.

Qualls was a main piece in that bullpen then.

Not sure if he has gotten worse since then.

“They barely win as it is and their closer blows 4 saves and loses with ERA of 9.”

ERA’s with relievers are meaningless though. If you go 0.1 IP and give up 4 runs, your ERA is tarnished for half the season.

And every year, I see Brian Fuentes with 5, 6 blown saves before the All-Star break and yet, somehow, he always lands on the All-Star team.

k

I think I’d worry more for a streaker that is nearing 40 right after the all-star game. By that time, some teams are selling and playing 2nd/3rd string players/pitchers the rest of the season. I think the opportunity for easier picks may be in the final 3 months; but then again, fatigue comes into play too.

“He can’t really afford to play it safe by picking to-be-on-DL players either since his competition is right behind him. If one tries that strategy waiting on a “gimme”, then the opportunity exists for the 2nd place leader to leap frog ahead of him. He’ll also be 2nd guessing himself to death; we all just have to wait and see.”

ha, weren’t you the one that said it is impossible to win the contest?

if that were true, he would not have to worry about people behind him, since they are doomed to fail anyway.

he would just need to choose between more “gimme” picks, but picking from behind versus weaker picks from ahead.

“A guy who hits .360 can rarely be considered a bad pick”

That is cumulative avg. I don’t think he is *currently* even batting .300. He has already begin to cool days ago. Basically, that is what this game comes down to. Trying to figure out how well he is hitting right now.

“the final 3 months; but then again, fatigue comes into play too.”

That is the worst time. Fatigue kills everyone. Every big streak in last 4 years just about now.

Cano has not been easy to predict, which has led me to look for other options, until he sorts out.

He looked like he was going to slump last time he had back-to-back 0 for X’s, but then went on another 10-game hit streak.

So now, he is stuttering. I would not place a big streak on a stuttering pick.

Thank goodness there is no stand out easy pick for tomorrow. I want Dick.George finished. He had more than his helping of lucks go his way.

Also, I think everyone is being too hard on Vazquez. He currently has a 6.00 ERA, which has that 0.0 IP, 5 ER outing built in.

In his last 7.1 IP, he had only given up 1 ER on 1 hit.

But now, of course, the leader called.

So, he blew up.

Vazquez should not be touched. He has been pitching very well lately. He is almost back to where he was last year. I like Vaz. I just don’t AJ. AJ sucks Moose Fluid. He is basically above avg. pitcher who took #1 starter $. He has blown so many games already. He has not been the same since the surgery.

ha, I meant Esmerling Vazquez that everyone is taunting now.

To prove my point further, click on over to Gameday and watch the Angels’ game now.

Fuentes currently has a 6.23 ERA and is closing for the Angels.

Yeah but Fuentes has sucked for a long time too. He is 2nd tier moving into a set up role from here. The point of being a closer is not being barely good. I mean closing game is not that hard. I bet me & you can close few games here & there. Even if you make bad pitches, some times hitters get themselves out. I actually don’t have much respect for them. You just need a decent rubber arm and you can close 80% of the games easily.

Those back-to-back 0-fer’s were predictable. I remember staying away from him b/c he faced two tough lefties in Romero & Cecil. In June Cano is hitting .370 so against any average pitcher I wouldn’t hesitate to take him if I couldn’t find anything better. Btw, I stay away from any hitter facing my favorite team (Mets), so I’m not surprised he had 2 0-fer’s when it was against them :P

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