Beat the Streak Report: Weekend, April 22-24

Well, wasn’t that quite the nice little Thursday, Streakers?

Yesterday’s four most popular selections all turned out to be winning scratch-off tickets, earning a combined 26.4 percent of you … another scratch-off ticket.

Gordon Beckham also took a 0-for-0 pass, which in this stretched analogy would be like the 7-Eleven guy selling you a defective lottery ticket which was neither a winner nor a loser but still took like three hours to scratch off because you never know when it might pinch-hit for Omar Vizquel. That makes sense, right?

Anywho, the weekend is upon us and new streaking opportunities abound. Only 13 of you boast longer bids than Andre Ethier‘s current 18-gamer, and Andre has a significantly harder degree of difficulty considering he has to pick himself every single day. Yes, batting in front of baseball cyborg Matt Kemp helps. No, not as much as having 200-plus players to choose from on a daily basis. Step it up, Streakaz.

Friday’s picks:

(Make a BTS pick)

Oh, hello there …

Magglio Ordonez: .448 AVG (13-for-29) since ’06 vs. White Sox starter Mark Buehrle

• Miguel Montero: .583 AVG (7-for-12) since ’06 vs. Mets starter Mike Pelfrey

Michael Bourn: .400 AVG (8-for-20) since ’06 vs. Brewers starter Yovani Gallardo

Feeling kinda spicy?

• Jason Kubel: .361 AVG (13-for-36) since ’06 vs. Indians starter Fausto Carmona

You’ll thank me later …

Miguel Cabrera: .056 AVG (1-for-18) since ’06 vs. White Sox starter Mark Buehrle

Paul Konerko: .105 AVG (4-for-38) since ’06 vs. Tigers starter Justin Verlander

Saturday’s picks:

(Make a BTS pick)

Oh, hello there …

Asdrubal Cabrera: .588 AVG (10-for-17) since ’06 vs. Twins starter Francisco Liriano

Alex Rios: .750 AVG (9-for-12) since ’06 vs. Tigers starter Brad Penny

• Robinson Cano: .778 AVG (7-for-9) since ’06 vs. Orioles starter Chris Tillman

Feeling kinda spicy?

Ronny Cedeno: .462 AVG (6-for-13) since ’06 vs. Nationals starter Jason Marquis

You’ll thank me later …

Brandon Phillips: .176 AVG (6-for-34) since ’06 vs. Cardinals starter Chris Carpenter

• Grady Sizemore: .136 AVG (3-for-22) since ’06 vs. Twins starter Francisco Liriano

Sunday’s picks:

(Make a BTS pick)

Oh, hello there …

Magglio Ordonez: .609 AVG (14-for-23) since ’06 vs. White Sox starter John Danks

Andre Ethier: .462 AVG (6-for-13) since ’06 vs. Cubs starter Carlos Zambrano

Adrian Beltre: .500 AVG (4-for-8) since ’06 vs. Royals starter Bruce Chen

Feeling kinda spicy?

Juan Rivera: .467 AVG (7-for-15) since ’06 vs. Rays starter James Shields

You’ll thank me later …

Torii Hunter: .136 AVG (3-for-22) since ’06 vs. Red Sox starter John Lackey

Asdrubal Cabrera: .000 AVG (0-for-12) since ’06 vs. Twins starter Carl Pavano

Leaderboard time!

Gottaweartheshades was apparently blinded by Logan Morrison‘s foot injury yesterday, taking a pass as the outfielder sat out against the Pirates and was later placed on the DL. While the 0-for-0 doesn’t break our eye-protected friend’s 21-game streak, it does end an impressive run of 21 correct picks in as many days to start the season. Hope you enjoyed your moment in the sun, sir/ma’am/robot. Now you’re just another Streaker with a pick and a dream.

Top MLB streakers

Andre Ethier18 games

Alex Gordon15 games

Wilson Betemit: 12 games

Robinson Cano11 games

Jeff Francoeur: 11 games

Michael Young: 11 games

146 Comments

Lots of rain forecasted in streakland today. Pujols/Votto lovers, may want to look to another game. Here in STL, weather may invite a PPD and double header possibly tomorrow.

There’s a 70%-plus chance of rain for LAD/CHC, CLE/MIN, WAS/PIT, CWS/DET, and NYY/BAL too.

Good thing my current pick isn’t from any of those games. :-)

With above being said, I’m willing to bet Prince Albert will be highly picked anyway

Had Starlin locked in but due to inclement weather in Chicago, not taking the chance there so Im going with Tulo tonight.

Going with Montero today. He not only hits Pelfrey well but he hits extremely well in New York as well. 11-24 at Citi Field. Hoping to get to 8.

Wish I could say the same. Reyes ruined it for me last night. :-(

If Eithier goes 0-fer tomorrow, not only will I be reset but so will a ton of others. A true Cubby fan, I hate to pick against them due to loyalty. But with the wind howling out to left center and Ethier’s success vs HR-giving Dempster, I have little choice but to pick tomorrow what I consider and obvious choice. For today’s game, I’m moving indoors with Braun.

Wind is howling to right center, not left center — my dyslexia acting up :)

Going with Fielder today to get to 1.

I’m also staying indoors in MIL, but I’m going with Bourn to get back to 3.

@gpearson, I agree with Braun and there are 8 possible games today that have rain in the forecast for game time so choose wisely. Dodgers/Cubs is one of those games.

I agree with Bourn not Braun.

If one looks at Braun’s #s vs. Figueroa I can understand not agreeing with my pick. But let me put it this way: Figgy is averaging 8 hits allowed per game, righties hitting 360 against him & pitches worse away than at home. Braun on the other hand, 9 hits in last 5 games @ a .450 clip and his splits are outstanding so far. So I decided to simply ignore that horrible past history stat and the above is part of reason why I chose Braun; not attempting to change anyone’s mind, only clarification

P.S. On days when I actually do the research I am 100% in my picks or predictions. For example, I picked/predicted Pujols breakout game in Arizona and predicted Wright’s breakout game last night. We’ll see if my pick of a .111 hitter vs. Figgy is correct or not.

Read something on gameday yesterday that I thought was interesting and stunk big time for Choo pickers… With men on 1st & 2nd, “Shin-Soo Choo lines into a force out, left fielder Alex Gordon to third baseman Wilson Betemit.” Ugh, that means what would have been a sure single turns into a force-out because Sizemore (on 2nd) was either unsure the ball would be caught, slipped, or something else. Bad luck, Choo went 0-fer

Mini-gameday is back. Now I can watch several games at same time. Doing my happy dance now…. :P

I see they have redesigned the interface, since the last mini-gameday update, so I share in your enthusiasm!

Too bad there is only 1 game right now.

The real funny part is that, for some reason, my desktop cannot run classic gameday, but it can run the mini gameday, which is built off the classic gameday template.

I had Matt Kemp going but since the game most likely won’t be completed I’ve been convinced to go with Braun to hopefully ride me to 9. What put me over-the-top was his extension yesterday which may hopefully make him have a great day today.

Dodgers/Cubs is in a delay. I will be surprised if it’s even played.

Looks like the rain is about to wrap up in Chicago. Conditions will be unpleasant, but playable.

For those that picked in that game, it is being aired on WGN should it be played

Yep, I just read on a Cubs message board that they’re removing the tarp.

LaV’s List
Friday’s Top Picks of the current Top2500,
165 Batters picked overall

Batter, Times Picked, Percentage
Robinson Cano 281 11.24(1RST)
Troy Tulowitzki 207 8.28(MY PICK)
Ryan Braun 117 4.68
Miguel Montero 115 4.6
Andre Ethier 111 4.44 RAIN DELAY
Albert Pujols 92 3.68
Matt Holliday 86 3.44
Jason Kubel 79 3.16(3RD)
Michael Young 74 2.96
Matt Kemp 71 2.84 RAIN DELAY
Prince Fielder 66 2.64
Ichiro Suzuki 55 2.2
No Selection 55 2.2
Victor Martinez 10 0.4(1RST)

Highest “No Selection” :P pg# 5 with streak of 14 back to zero.
Yesterday’s Top2500 Reset rate was 29.04% with ICHIRO reseting the most.

Bloggers Group Top2500
UserName, Streak, Page#, Rank, Pick
‘www.jew, 13, pg 10, 140, EITHER (PICKED 111X)
damonschwan, 9, pg 48, 1036, TULO (PICKED 207X)
Dodgerlu, 8, pg 65, 1571, BRAUN (PICKED 117X)
Jagx, 8, pg 65, 1571, ICHIRO (PICKED 55X)
nardberg, 8, pg 85, 1571 , CANO(PICKED 281X)
baseballgirlie13, 7, pg 100+, 2350, MONTERO (PICKED 115X)

Bloggers Reset Yesterday
LEEROY77, RESET BY ICHIRO
slick1014 RESET BY JUSTIN UPTON

GL to all
M

Leader picked V-Mart? Taking a chance to drop to 2nd as V-Mart is on the DL. Maybe the strategy is to wait for a potential “gimme” pick?

Stupid if you ask me. Pick and move on or pick someone on the DL and pause. Hmmm.

Or pick blindly and go back to 0 or pick someone on the DL and pause. Hmmm.

Can you pick a guy on the DL? Martinez went on the DL on Tuesday, so this pick had to be made on or before that day, right?

Yep, you’re right.

One strategy ppl employ is to pick someone going on DL for the next 9 days since you can pick 10 days out. That way if you are unsure or unavailable to make a pick, it is considered a safe pick. A 20/21 gamer is a nice streak but barely over a 3rd of the way there. I wouldn’t allow others to catch up or pass me up. Maybe if I was near 40, my strategy might employ DL players while I waited for a no-brainer pick?

I just wouldn’t do it. But I guess if you must. *shrugs*

i think the v-mart pick is a smart strategy. yes 21 games is just over a third of the way there but everyone who has played this game knows that if you lose a streak over 10 games its extremely difficult to even get back to 10. so to say he should make a pick when hes not that confident while at a streak of 21 is just plain stupid. hes better off just waiting until he finds a pick hes happy with

Well, let’s see, he picked to DL players back-back. If he picks 1 player on average every 2-3 days and at 21 games now, he’ll need another 37 to get to 57. At 2.5 days per pick, that would mean another 92-ish days from now to get to 57. Too risky in my opinion with a relatively low streak overall. Like I said, I’d consider it if I was in the 40s and enough days were left to be that patient. But to each their own & we are simply guessing. Maybe he/she is out of town and can’t do the research?

Yes I realize I said 37 instead of 36, but the gist is there

And when I said too risky, I was referring to the ability to restart and have enough days left to get another large streak going. Getting back to back large streaks would be a huge task IMO

I also think that it probably is that he is away for the weekend and would rather lose when he has time to do the research.

Even if V-Mart was healthy, why would you pick him?

If anyone wants to play the DL game, add Angel Pagan to your next 9 picks. Per rotoworld, he’s going on the DL

Who’s ever confident in this game? ;)

Well, I am. I am very confident I will have more resets than double digit streaks

LOL! I WAS confident on day one that I’d have won by day 57. It’s not going so well.

I wasn’t that confident, but I thought I’d have a double digit streak in April. Can still get it if I get thru the month without another reset. Baby steps in confidence

I can almost get to double digits. One game at a time.

Well, here’s to 5.5 double digit streaks back to back :)

By the way, I went with Troy Tulowitzki today.

Today’s sleeper picks for me are Lance Berkman and Jason Kubel.

well i took your sleeper. i have jason kubel today

Well Yankees/Baltimore is officially postponed. 2 games already postponed today.

That means the top 2 dogs don’t move and potential for 3-way tie for 1st if Kubel hits.

But MIN is in still some peril weather-wise…

That means I’m stuck at 1 again. I took Robinson Cano.

With CLE/MIN now PPD, top 3 leaders remain idle today

CIN/SL in a delay after one batter.

LaVolpe, you were right. Three run homerun by Braun.

Anyone else following the FLA/COL game. No hitter thru 8. MLB channel and probably ESPN now will cut into the 9th.

I picked FL to win in the ESPN streak game. Incredibly only 5% did.

A 95-5 split or just 5% of the entire field?

Fak. I had my W8 on col so I was part of that 95%. Back to one though with lakers/hornets putting up 47 in 3rd.

I am watching the Col/Fla game right now. I have the baseball package but since Bourn got his hit I switched over.

And here we go… 9th about to be played

Man! A broken bat weak seeing eye single. Too bad

AT 116 pitches already though, one hit and Sanchez is done for the night.

and Im hoping that Tulo gets another bat here, due up 4th.

The BTS gods haven’t had their sacrifice tonight. Who’s it gonna be?

knowing my luck its gonna be Tulo. B/C i switched from Starlin earlier

We now know Tulo was sacrificed. Will Montero be also?

He’s due up first in 9th.

Unless DBacks score 3 or more, Montero sacrificed also

Fielder may be also. 1 more AB minimum.

Hmmm. STL kept their pitcher but CIN changed to a lefty pitcher. Will that be a good thing or bad thing for those that picked Theriot, Rasmus, Pujols, Holliday & Berkman?

All 5 got hits.

Unless I’m very lucky, Prince will not bat again.

Well color me lucky, Prince due up 6th, will bat again.

And with the lopsided score, odds are that he won’t be intentionally walked next time. Not only that, HOU has no lefties in their pen and the pitching quality Fielder will face may not be very good. Yes, colored lucky.

Ok, not so lucky. And the thing that sucks the most is that nearly every other player on MIL got a hit. Guess it was a good thing I was already at zero.

Regarding that STL game. Got lightening & thunder, but not much rain here. Maybe that game will be played.

No sooner did I hit the submit button when gameday updated and indicated play about to be resumed ;)

Quite a discrepancy between the hit strength from MLB.com’s writers and the result:

“Dexter Fowler rips a ground ball into right field for a single,”

But it looks like the 2nd baseman pulls up short and he could have dove and knocked it down.

Not sure if he could have thrown out Fowler, but if the ball bounced off his glove, couldn’t the scorer have been creative and given the 2nd baseman an error?

Not much he can do when the ball does not even touch him.

Wow, lots of good picks for Saturday. But how can you go against Ethier’s numbers, with a dry forecast, and the wind blowing out at Wrigley?

Answer: You pick him or pick someone else who will get a hit and hope Ethier fails. But if it backfires on you, you kick yourself. I think he’ll be highly picked but not #1. The masses don’t do the research some of us bloggers do. All they see is his #s. And when you look at Cano’s #s, it will be more attractive for the masses; just thinking out loud

Ah check that. BAL changed pitchers for today’s game. I think I’ll do some further looking myself

I still see Bergesen for Saturday on the Probables’ page.

Did you read someone else elsewhere?

Yes. It was Chris Tillman where Cano was 7-9 against him. If you look at Dave’s picks for today (above), you’ll see that too. I don’t know when/why they bumped Tillman

Oh, I usually look at the current day’s matchups after the previous day’s games have all gone final, since I like using the most updated and accurate information possible.

The only difference is if I will be away for the weekend, but even then, I usually stay up in the middle of the night at someone’s house making my picks.

It is not as hard now too, since we only have the one contest to deal with here.

@Dave, and anyone else playing streak for the cash on ESPN, we’ve got a public group if you care to join. search BTS Bloggers group. Right now its myself and baseballgirlie.

I tried doing that last year, but I never could quite remember to do it, as there were way more contests here last year.

I already had to break down all the teams, all the HR hitters, and all the hitters.

It was a shame too because I had already done all the homework for the ESPN contest too, but I could just never remember to put the picks in.

Joined! I’m ngedjc there.

@LaV, I sent you yesterday’s stat file. Hopefully you can pull today and tomorrow. I’m not doing it today, too tired. GL all today. I’m joining the masses going with Ethier.

Saturday’s Top Picks of the current Top2500, 157 Batters picked overall
Batter, Times Picked, Percentage
Robinson Cano, 314, 12.56
Andre Ethier, 254, 10.16
Matt Holliday, 142, 5.68
Michael Young, 134, 5.36
Ian Kinsler, 126, 5.04
Ichiro Suzuki, 101, 4.04
Troy Tulowitzki, 98, 3.92
No Selection, 92, 3.68
Jose Reyes, 83, 3.32
Miguel Cabrera, 63, 2.52
Albert Pujols, 57, 2.28
Alex Rodriguez, 54, 2.16
Carlos Quentin, 51, 2.04
Joey Votto, 47, 1.88
Alex Rios, 43, 1.72
Asdrubal Cabrera, 40, 1.6
Adrian Beltre, 14, 0.56 (Leader #1)
Victor Martinez, 2, 0.08 (Leader #2) (DL)
Highest “No Selection” :P pg# 3 with streak of 15 back to zero.
Yesterday’s Top2500 Reset rate was 32.6% with T.Tulowitski resetting the most.
There was also 22.68% PPD due to rain or players not playing, These streakers do not reset, but did not increase either.
—————————————-
Bloggers Group Top2500
UserName, Streak, Page#, Rank, Pick
‘www.jew, 14, pg 7, 81, A.Ethier x254
Dodgerlu, 9, pg , 910, A.Ethier x254
Jagx, 9, pg , 910, A.Ethier x254
nardberg, 8, pg , 1401, I.Kinsler x126
Bloggers Reset Yesterday
damonschwan @ 9 reset by T.Tulowitski
baseballgirlie13 @ 7 reset by M.Montero

Did anyone hear about the St. Louis area? There was a tornado that came through and hit the St. Louis airport. I hope that anyone lives in that area are alright.

torandoes are common in the midwest.

they are not a rare occurrence, unless it is an F4 or F5.

tornadoes*

The Met game may be postponed, so I switched from Jose Reyes to Miguel Cabrera to avoid another pause.

NYM game resuming. Regarding STL: no casualties lots of damage to homes & the airport itself. If interested go to kmov.com

back to a streak of 1 with kubel’s 2 run double

I feel soooo guilty. A Cubby by birth, here I am hoping Ethier gets a hit to up my streak knowing if he does runs will score and Cubs will be losing late in the game. So he does get a hit, 2 runs score, and what comes out of my mouth is “Yes”, followed by a loud “crud!”

And as a Reds fan who picked Ethier, I had no conflict at all. ;)

If the Cubs can come back and at least tie, my feelings of betrayal will at least be minimized. I thought I’d be happy to continue the streak; sometimes I hate being a die-hard fan :(

I picked Drew of AZ against the Reds on Thursday, and I was happy for his hit. I just remind myself that it didn’t happen BECAUSE of me. It’s not betrayal to look on the bright side of something that’s otherwise negative. Also, it’s not like the Cubs are playing the evil Cards or anything. :D

But CIN won that game! Not looking good for the Cubs right now

Wooo-hooo! Cubs tie in the 8th, I can now sleep peacefully tonite

I love how you were content with them simply tying the game.

If they just tied and lost, they could have won if Ethier didn’t get his hit!

As a Dodger fan, Ethier’s double was a double “Yes!”

I know the BTS gods will punish the less-informed at some point, but there are picks from leaders that confuse me. For example, a 19-gamer picked A.Rios (0-fer last 5 games). And another one: a 20-gamer picked Votto. Ok, Votto is a great hitter but is going against Carpenter & he isn’t pitching his best lately. Maybe Rios is due? But is your risk worth it? Isn’t there better picks? Maybe my personal fears are clouding my understanding, or maybe some of the leaders are just riding a 3-week lucky streak and wear rabbits feet in place of jewelry?

Votto just homered as did Pujols.

And Miggy just doubled to get on the board.

Plenty of sacrifices still on the board including Holliday under a rain-delay as of now.

And Holliday goes 0-4 to become the first sacrifice. Cano already good.

It is amazing how horrible Holliday hits when I consider him.

Glad I switched because of the heavy rain expected there and how that allowed me to give him a 2nd chance this season and not lose anything.

Holliday should be the feature player of the DNP list.

Matt Holliday ended my 2010 opening 10 game streak with an O fer, I’ve got to be very cautious about picking him.

4th-inning double by Boesch brings me back to 1!

Swisher is a sleeper for tomorrow.

Hit the ball hard twice in the Yankees’ 15-run game and was the only starter to go 0 for.

I had Swisher in this last season against Arrieta and that ended my 17 game streak. Swisher is O fer 7 agaisnt Arrieta all time with at least 1 Sac Fly so he is 0 for 8 for BTS purposes. I’m taking A-Rod today.

If the score holds in TEX so they don’t bat in 9th, co-leader falls with A.Beltre. But the leader that’s been on the DL for 3 days has 2 more tied with him now instead of just one… Looks like 3 co-leaders tomorrow

Highest no selections (2) on page 3 with streaks of 16, return to 0.

Sunday’s Top Picks of the current Top2500, 162 Batters picked overall
Batter, Times Picked, Percentage
Ryan Braun, 288, 11.52
Andre Ethier, 258, 10.32 (leader #1)
Robinson Cano, 258, 10.32
Joey Votto, 184, 7.36
No Selection, 75, 3,0
Ichiro Suzuki, 73, 2.92 (leader #3)
Adrian Beltre, 70, 2.8
Alex Rodriguez, 67, 2.68
Matt Kemp, 63, 2.52
Albert Pujols, 60, 2.4
Michael Young, 53, 2.12
Jose Reyes, 38, 1.52
Matt Holliday, 36, 1.44
Miguel Cabrera, 36, 1.44
Stephen Drew, 3, 0.12 (leader #2)
Highest “No Selection” :P pg# 3 with streak of 16 back to zero.
Yesterday’s Top2500 Reset rate was 26.88% with M.Holliday reseting the most.
—————————————-
Got Pinched? Top2500 streaks saved or reset by pinch hit appearances (PHA)
B.Posey reset 14, highest was 11 gamer
H.Kendrick reset 6, highest was 14 gamer
No other PHA affected Top2500
—————————————-
Bloggers Group Top2500
UserName, Streak, Page#, Rank, Pick
‘www.jew, 15, pg 5, 61, J.Votto
Dodgerlu, 10, pg 28, 689, A.Pujols
Jagx, 10, pg 29, 689, R.Cano
darwri, 7, pg 100, 2086, I.Suzuki
trixiewright, 7, pg 100+, 2086, I.Suzuki
Bloggers Reset Yesterday
nardberg @ 8 reset by I.Kinsler

New section added to the Top2500 listing. I thought some may be intrigued at how pinch hitting affected some streaks. The section, if 00Liber wants to continue it, lists which PH appearances either saved/increased or reset streaks

Beautiful. But you didn’t include Polonco who pinch hit last night. Top of 11.

He moved 25 on with his single in the 11th.

He didn’t pinch hit. He came in as a replacement

Maybe want to re-word it a bit and include only 1 AB appearances? PHs can actually bat more than once on occasion. For example, Wigginton came in as PH, stayed in game and got a 2nd AB.

I thought he came and pitch hit for the pitchers spot.

Nope, double switch. He went to pitcher’s spot & new pitcher took 3B spot.

Was one of those stupid NL double switches wasn’t it?

Mark, check your email

A Rod has been walked twice, this does not look good.

0 for 1 there goes the pause.

I picked him too. I was only at one so I guess no big deal.

A Rod will have one more chance, have to hope for the best.

Again, I was going to pick David Wright and didn’t. He’s hit two homeruns today.

A Rod has been walked for the 3rd time.

A-Rod was going to my pick also, but my gut said to move to CWS game which backfired for me. Still a chance of a tie, otherwise not looking good for A-Rod nor Cano. I’ll be looking to get back to one & so will some of you I’m afraid

That’s one way to give Ichiro a day off of sorts. He’s the DH

And with his 1st AB single, all 3 co-leaders move to 22

:(

Bal scores one off Mariano to force extras. A-Rod due 4th Cano 5th.

A Rod flew out to end the 10th. Cano will lead off 11th, A-Rod pickers will need at least a 12th inning and maybe a 13th.

At least the Yankees are winning the game: Cano pickers got their hit, A-Rod gets left on Deck, thanks a lot Swisher and Gardner for striking out. >:(

:A It’s only April…..

BTS gods took a day off; no major sacrifices today. Gonna be a relatively low reset day.

A Rod major sacrifice. Votto and Pujols to play later. Could I have the only player in the top 15 to go O fer? I wish I knew how to predict walks. lol :( :A

A-Rod only had a small % of picks. Votto could be a significant sacrifice though & game looks like it will not be rained out after all.

We got to get survivor going! Without it we can’t test the skill of picking winners! And I can’t beat by best streak of 9!
Spread the word We want survivor! We want survivor!

Pujols knocks me to 11! It was tough sitting through today with all of the people I was gonna pick getting hits.

Votto has walked twice. If Phillips would stop hitting, maybe Votto would get something to swing at!

Well here we go. last bat for votto pending extras.

and there’s the double. PHEW. was getting worried I would get reset again.

:) Moves my streak up to 2!

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