Beat the Streak Report: Weekend, June 24-26

So remember all that stuff we said about how Thursday would be one of the hardest days of the season for Streak picks?

Well, umm, we may have overstated it a little bit.

As it turned out, five of your top six picks converted — including the top three — advancing a hefty 62.6 percent of all selectors in the process. Jose Reyes was responsible for over half of that total by himself, achieving national hero status with a 2-for-4 effort against the A’s.

The weekend’s full slates presents a less challenging picking environment, but Interleague matchups should always be approached with caution. Play safe, don’t run on the pool deck and feel free to reap the wisdom of …

_____________

Friday’s picks:

(Make a BTS pick)

Oh, hello there …

Andre Ethier: .341 AVG (14-for-41) since ’06 vs. Angels starter Dan Haren

• Prince Fielder: .400 AVG (8-for-20) since ’06 vs. Twins starter Scott Baker

• Miguel Cabrera: .455 AVG (5-for-11) since ’06 vs. Diamondbacks starter Zach Duke

Feeling kinda spicy?

Ryan Ludwick: .563 AVG (9-for-16) since ’06 vs. Braves starter Derek Lowe

You’ll thank me later …

• Mark Teixeira: .000 AVG (0-for-8) since ’06 vs. Yankees starter Ubaldo Jimenez

Adrian Gonzalez: .111 AVG (1-for-9) since ’06 vs. Pirates starter Paul Maholm

Home Run BTS pick:

Jay Bruce: (17 HR this season) vs. Orioles starter Chris Jakubauskas

Saturday’s picks:

(Make a BTS pick)

Oh, hello there …

Ty Wigginton: .316 AVG (12-for-38) since ’06 vs. Yankees starter CC Sabathia

Matt Holliday: .429 AVG (3-for-7) since ’06 vs. Blue Jays starter Carlos Villanueva

 Orlando Hudson: .364 AVG (4-for-11) since ’06 vs. Braves starter Jair Jurrjens

Feeling kinda spicy?

Lyle Overbay: .364 AVG (12-for-33) since ’06 vs. Red Sox starter Josh Beckett

You’ll thank me later …

Prince Fielder: .091 AVG (1-for-11) since ’06 vs. Twins starter Francisco Liriano

Ryan Theriot: .154 AVG (2-for-13) since ’06 vs. Blue Jays starter Carlos Villanueva

Home Run BTS pick:

Alex Rodriguez: (13 HR this season) vs. Rockies starter Aaron Cook


Sunday’s picks:

(Make a BTS pick)

Oh, hello there …

Jhonny Peralta: .471 AVG (8-for-17) since ’06 vs. Diamondbacks starter Joe Saunders

James Loney: .412 AVG (7-for-17) since ’06 vs. Angels starter Jered Weaver

Scott Rolen: .133 AVG (2-for-15) since ’06 vs. Orioles starter Jeremy Guthrie

Feeling kinda spicy?

Carlos Pena: .556 AVG (5-for-9) since ’06 vs. Royals starter Luke Hochevar

You’ll thank me later …

Andre Ethier: .118 AVG (2-for-17) since ’06 vs. Angels starter Jered Weaver

Jeff Francoeur: .000 AVG (0-for-8) since ’06 vs. Cubs starter Randy Wells

Home Run BTS pick:

Miguel Cabrera: (15 HR this season) vs. Diamondbacks starter Joe Saunders


Leaderboard time!

Current leader sebringt and co-pilot jonroy73 both survived yesterday thanks to Ichiro Suzuki. The sebring is now parked at 36 games, meaning things are about to get super-serious if they make it through the weekend.


Top MLB streakers 

Ryan Braun: 14 games

Nick Markakis: 13 games

Michael Cuddyer12 games

Robinson Cano11 games

Ichiro Suzuki: 11 games

38 Comments

I set up a group for the Bloggers for the new MLB.com Odyssey contest:

Group ID: 300
Group Password: bloggers

I fully maximized the options with 28 people playing, 5 strikes, and 5 people picking per day.

I wanted this game to be different than the old Survivor, so that is why everyone is not picking every day.

I would have went with 9 or 10, if it were an option, but 5 was the largest number you could pick without everyone picking.

The rules say private groups can go up to 30 players, but 28 was the largest number on the drop-down menu.

I’d like to start this as soon as possible.

I think it would be smart to have a 1-day break from when our last participant signs up to when we officially begin though.

I’m in.

7/28 are in so far.

Apparently, I cannot see who has already signed up until the group fills completely, so make sure to keep signing up.

Thanks champ for doing that, I signed up already too. Think this will be fun!

I am in as well Champion and it is up to 8 now.

Just signed up! Thanks for the idea

LaV’s List
Friday’s Top Picks of the current Top2500,
143 Batters picked overall
Batter, Times Picked, Percentage
Miguel Cabrera 280 11.2 (1RST)(2ND)(4TH)
Joey Votto 206 8.24
Ichiro Suzuki 170 6.80 (3RD)
Adrian Gonzalez 127 5.08 (5TH)GOOD
Jose Bautista 118 4.72
Starlin Castro 110 4.40
Prince Fielder 105 4.20
Josh Hamilton 98 3.92
Robinson Cano 88 3.52
Lance Berkman 75 3.00
Andre Ethier 57 2.28
No Selection 37 1.48
——————————————-
Highest “No Selection” :P pg# 12 with streak of 14 back to zero.
Yesterday’s Top2500 Reset rate was 17.2% with PLACIDO POLANCO reseting the most.
There was also 7.6% PPD due to players not playing. These streakers do not reset, but did not increase either.
——————————————–

Got Pinched OR 1 AB Wonders
TOP2500 saved or reset by PHA (going to include any pinch hitters and/or double switch, 2 AB or Less)
Y Molina STL, SAVED 8 DEF SWITCH, HIGHEST WAS 16 GAMER
J Mauer MIN, RESET 7 HIGHEST WAS 16 GAMER
L Nix WASH, RESET 2 SAC FLY. WERE 10,8 GAMERS
R Sweeney OAK, RESET 2 15, 8 GAMERS
R Ibanez PHI, RESET 2 WERE 11,8 GAMERS
R Gload PHI, SAVED 1 WAS 10 GAMER
——————————————–

Bloggers Group Top2500
UserName, Streak, Page#, Rank, Pick, (Times picked in top2500)
YanksGiantsDevils33, 13, pg 14 , 434, JOSH HAMILTON (PICKED 98X)
Dalywalker322, 12, pg 28, 621, ICHIRO (PICKED 170X)
heyya, 11, pg 36, 777, ADAM LIND (PICKED 37X)
Kenfucious, 11, pg 38, 777, JOEY VOTTO (PICKED 206X)
dave55, 8, pg 89, 1999, MIGGY (PICKED 280X)
ChiSox07, 8, pg 96, 1999, JOEY VOTTO (PICKED 206X)

——————————————-
Bloggers Reset Yesterday
cojobs, 9, RESET by POLANCO
GL to all
M

——————————————-

Aw crud, the leader already moves on to 37.

I know how you feel Champ. I hope this weekend is the weekend that the leader finally goes down.

Why is a Marlins home game starting at 1010 PM?

The game was moved to Seattle since there is a U2 concert in the Marlins home ballpark. Marlins will be the home team in Safeco.

Is that happening all weekend or just tonight?

It’s all weekend Champion. The game on Sunday is 10:10 as well and there is never a game that late on Sunday.

Geez. Looks like almost everyone near the top will be moving on again. Votto and Hamilton safe.

Every weekend Ken is always a massacre and I think the same will happen this weekend. The leader’s days are numbered and also the second and third place people.

LaV’s List
Saturday’s Top Picks of the current Top2500,
149 Batters picked overall
Batter, Times Picked, Percentage
Ichiro Suzuki 256 10.24 (1RST)
Robinson Cano 226 9.04
Starlin Castro 216 8.64
Adrian Gonzalez 205 8.2
Jacoby Ellsbury 127 5.08
Joey Votto 118 4.72
Matt Kemp 107 4.28
Paul Konerko 65 2.6
No Selection 58 2.32
Ryan Braun 57 2.28 (4TH)
Miguel Cabrera 51 2.04
Curtis Grandrsn 43 1.72 (2ND)
Victor Martinez 10 0.40 (3RD)

——————————————-

Highest “No Selection” :P pg# 3 with streak of 20 back to zero.
Yesterday’s Top2500 Reset rate was 24.68% with ICHIRO reseting the most.
There was also 5.72% PPD due to players not playing. These streakers do not reset, but did not increase either.
——————————————–

Got Pinched OR 1 AB Wonders
TOP2500 saved or reset by PHA (going to include any pinch hitters and/or double switch, 2 AB or Less)
D Ortiz BOS, RESET 8 HIGHEST WAS 15 GAMER
B Boesch DET, RESET 4 WERE 12,10,10,9 GAMERS
JD Drew BOS, SAVED 3 16,9,8 GAMERS
C Counsell MIL, RESET 1 WAS 9 GAMER
——————————————–

Bloggers Group Top2500
UserName, Streak, Page#, Rank, Pick, (Times picked in top2500)
YanksGiantsDevils33, 14, pg 14 , 332, PUJOLS(DL) (PICKED 37X) TAKING THE DAY OFF
heyya, 12, pg 28, 596, GARDNER (PICKED 14X)
Kenfucious, 12, pg 29, 596, A-ROD (PICKED 45X)
dave55, 9, pg 66, 1498, STARLIN (PICKED 216X)
ChiSox07, 9, pg 68, 1498, JOSE REYES (PICKED 28X)
tomfootball17, 8, pg 100+, 2151, KONERKO (PICKED 65X)
——————————————-

Bloggers Reset Yesterday
Dalywalker322, 12, RESET by ICHIRO
GL to all
M

——————————————-

I missed the lock time so I’m stuck with Pujols. Of course there is only 1 game going on now otherwise this would have locked at 4:05.

If you need to re-stock up on a DL player… CHOO CHOO.

i feel better now since Robinson Cano went O fer (the only other Yankee to go O fer was Pena as a Defensive replacement for A Rod) and so did Josh Hamilton.

Kemp imitates a “Black Cat” Votto moment: Ejected. 0-2

Holy, you’re still alive?! Haven’t seen or heard from you since Tues,

Needed some me-time. I’ll probably disappear again next week too. Work’s been a pain & I’ve just been coming home & relaxing which translates, for me, not booting up the system either.

We have sort of flatlined for Odyssey membership at 10/28.

We might want to get an e-mail list together to try to get some more members over the next few days.

Can you change the settings? Maybe drop the amount of members down to 12-15?

Somehow I picked the same as the leader 2 days in a row. Wouldn’t be terribly upset if I get reset tonight.

Ichiro 0-3. One more AB in the 8th/9th. Fat lady is warming up….

Ichiro just made the last out in the 7th and barring a miracle by the M’s and if they can load the bases again the leader is done.

Would it really be a miracle to send nine to the plate in two innings?

New leader tomorrow, only 2 games behind the previous leader’s top mark.

LaV’s List
Sunday’s Top Picks of the current Top2500,
142 Batters picked overall
Batter, Times Picked, Percentage
Adrian Gonzalez 838 33.86 (1RST)(3RD)(4TH)
Ryan Braun 172 6.95
Miguel Cabrera 148 5.98 (2ND)
Jose Reyes 87 3.52 (4TH)
Robinson Cano 79 3.19
Shin-Soo Choo 78 3.15
Jacoby Ellsbury 76 3.07
Starlin Castro 55 2.22
Joey Votto 51 2.06
Prince Fielder 45 1.82
No Selection 37 1.49
Casey Kotchman 32 1.29
——————————————-

Highest “No Selection” :P pg# 4 with streak of 17 back to zero.
Yesterday’s Top2500 Reset rate was 37.04% with ICHIRO & CANO reseting the most.
There was also 7.24% PPD due to players not playing. These streakers do not reset, but did not increase either.
——————————————–

Got Pinched OR 1/2 AB Wonders
TOP2500 saved or reset by PHA (going to include any pinch hitters and/or double switch, 2 AB or Less)
——————————————–
M Kemp LAD, EJECTED AFTER 2 AB RESETING 107 not a PHA but worth noting.
——————————————–
D Ortiz BOS, RESET 22 HIGHEST WAS 22 GAMER
M Cabrerra KC, RESET 3 WERE 10,9,8 GAMERS
K Fukudome CHC, RESET 2 WERE 14,10 GAMERS
J Ruggiano TB, RESET 2 WERE 12,8 GAMERS
T Hafner CLE, SAVED 1 WAS 14 GAMER
W Betemit KC, RESET 1 WAS 14 GAMER
——————————————–

Bloggers Group Top2500
UserName, Streak, Page#, Rank, Pick, (Times picked in top2500)
YanksGiantsDevils33, 14, pg 11 , 268, ADRIAN GONZALEZ (PICKED 838X)
heyya, 13, pg 16, 348, JACOBY ELLSBURY (PICKED 76X)
Kenfucious, 13, pg 17, 348, MIGGY (PICKED 148X)
dave55, 10, pg 41, 920, ADRIAN GONZALEZ (PICKED 838X)
ChiSox07, 10, pg 41, 920, CASEY KOTCHMAN (PICKED 32X)
tomfootball17, 9, pg 71, 1305, JACOBY ELLSBURY (PICKED 76X)
00LIber, 8, pg 89, 1793, ADRIAN GONZALEZ (PICKED 838X)
——————————————-

Bloggers Reset Yesterday
NONE
GL to all
M

——————————————-

Those 78 with Choo stay paused, as he is on the DL.

And Just like that 40% already onto tomorrow. Thx Adrian.

:)

Sometimes this game is so frustrating for people that know baseball inside & out. For example, I’m doing pretty good with a season streak rate about 80%; though my longest streak is just 10. My wife on the other hand: barely knows the sport at all; couldn’t tell you whether a team name you gave her was in baseball, football, whatever. How does she make her picks? Honestly I don’t know her selection method; though she does pick just from the “picks o’day”. What’s her streak rate? About 10% less than mine. What’s her current streak? 7 more than me. Ugh! Don’t even get me started with the teasing that goes on :(

Not saying those that picked Gonzalez were lucky; think he was a great pick today.
But the wife wouldn’t have picked him if he wasn’t a pick o’day ’cause she never heard of him. How many other baseball novices or no-nothings out there got lucky today? You’d think it would even out over the long-haul. No-nothings don’t make it too high in the standings, ever; but I’ll see, as this is her 1st year playing the game & just started this month. A bit sour today I know. After yesterday’s Ichiro failure and her Ellsbury pick homering on 4th AB & Fielder’s last AB hit the day before, the jabbing is actually quite painful. However, if she is so fortunate to make any money on this game, then all is forgiven

no-nothings should’ve read: know-nothings

As discussed, this a primarily a game of luck. You can study matchups, general confidence, weather reports, wind direction, or player biorhythms ad nauseum.

But we end up seeing late scratches or rests, pitchers getting pulled early for relievers with less-suitable matchups for your pick, rain-shortened games, injuries, Matt Kemps, intentional walks, safe on errors, etc etc. Pick and hope, is all we can do. Knowing the game will slightly increase your odds, but it’s marginal.

But knowing the game is what makes it frustrating. I about as much of cricket as my wife does baseball. If I were in some cricket BTS type of game and lost streaks, I can tell you I wouldn’t mind nearly as much ’cause I didn’t know what I was doing in the first place. Anyway; that’s kinda what I was getting to about this game being frustrating

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