Beat the Streak Report: Monday, August 8

Welcome to Week 19 of 26, Streakers. Contrary to popular belief, there’s still plenty to play for in this here Streaking game. New streaks won’t be long enough to compete for the $5.6 million grand prize, but don’t forget that our season winner receives 10 grand in real United States currency.

As of now, that’s still jonroy73 at 40 games. As of nine days from now, it could be current king fatcat3415. As of a couple weeks from now, it could be you. Forty-one is the goal. Get after it.

________________

Monday’s picks:

(Make a BTS pick)

Oh, hello there … 

Ramon Hernandez: .529 (9-for-17) since ’06 vs. Rockies starter Jason Hammel

Troy Tulowitzki: .714 (5-for-7) since ’06 vs. Reds starter Homer Bailey

Andre Ethier: .714 (5-for-7) since ’06 vs. Phillies starter Roy Halladay

David Ortiz: .412 (7-for-17) since ’06 vs. Twins starter Scott Baker

Jacoby Ellsbury: 417 (5-for-12) since ’06 vs. Twins starter Scott Baker


Feeling kinda spicy?

Fred Lewis: .778 (7-for-9) since ’06 vs. Rockies starter Jason Hammel

 

You’ll thank me later …

Adam Jones: .056 (1-for-18) since ’06 vs. White Sox starter John Danks

Alexei Ramirez: .063 (1-for-16) since ’06 vs. Orioles starter Jeremy Guthrie

Joey Votto: .111 (1-for-9) since ’06 vs. Rockies starter Jason Hammel

Dustin Pedroia: .167 (2-for-12) since ’06 vs. Twins starter Scott Baker


Top MLB streakers 

Dan Uggla: 28 games

Ryan Zimmerman: 16 games

Hideki Matsui: 15 games

Yadier Molina: 12 games

Elvis Andrus: 11 games

Yuniesky Betancourt: 10 games


Home Run Beat the Streak pick:

Paul Konerko: 26 home runs this season vs. Orioles starter Jeremy Guthrie

36 Comments

Mark, if you didn’t manage a data pull last nite, I can run it today with last nite’s results. If you pull the data today then you should be good for tomorrow.

If u could run, that would be great.

Assuming season ends Sep 27th with no extension for 1 game playoffs, any chance of reaching 57 means you need to enter today with a 6-gamer or better: 51 days left including today. Some advice maybe:
1. Determine absolute minimum days you <b<must play to reach 57. When that number of days reaches the number of days left in the season, then you can no longer afford a rain-out or a pick that did not play
2. Consider picking only from teams where you can see the line up before games lock. Safest plan.
3. Consider monitoring weather forecasts and focus on games that are not subject to rain or pick indoor games
4. Consider picking star players at home games; less likely to be given day off. Fans pay to see the stars
5. Keep up with injury reports — don’t need to pick someone injured and not playing
And if eliminated from the 57 & trying for 41, keep the above in mind when you get close to that deadline

#1 above should have read in part as: you must play

– Correction noted: Season ends 28 Sep. That means all 5-gamers entering today are still in the hunt even if the season is not extended

im at 6 trying to decide who to go with for seven

Being under pressure, I agree most of the picks look iffy today. I’m not going to give you my pick based off of my logic but there are some teams to look at. 1) COL – their numbers (small sample size) indicate that game may generate double digit hits vs. CIN. 2) Another option can be to pick from SF vs. PIT (good team vs. struggling team) or 3) possibly CHC vs. WSH where pitcher was hit well last time out & CHC has relatively young, aggressive team.

now you know why this one is tough! id thought about taking the home town team (rangers) and picking someone there, too

Another thing to keep in mind is divisional play between contenders. Those games introduce intentional walks, pitch arounds, and more pinch hitters & pitching changes this time of the year than in early games. Many times the star players see reduced ABs

I also think picking in the Bos-Min game could be good. Quite a few Sox players hit Baker well. Just a thought. GL everyone and hopefully I can keep my 8 gamer going.

i guess i am sticking with my original pick of jacoby ellsbury

I started playing the new closers Beat the Streak game that champion 88 announced on Friday. The problem for me is that the closers I pick don’t come in since their team is losing. Any recommendations for a good closer pick? I like the White Sox pick at this point (Sergio Santos).

Here’s my suggestion & what I am trying the next few days. Pick a series where you think one team will win at least 1 of the games, preferably 2-3 games. Pick the closer. If you were correct, odds are one of the games will bring in the closer. I’m avoiding teams that can be blown out. For example, I made that mistake with HOU/MIL yesterday. MIL won as expected but by such a large margin, closer wasn’t needed.

dont forget brian wilson of SF playing Pitt and JJ Putz of arizona playing houston.
i dont think you can go wrong with either of these two over the next threedays

For that new strategy I just suggested… Bingo. Wilson is my pick for the next 3 days

and Valverde for detroit, they have that big series in the division tue-thurs with Cleveland

Yanks, I like Santos myself. I think that game is going to be close and he will get a save tonight. I had Feliz last night and he didn’t even play and Adams got the save last night. Was shocked at that. Lav, the season ends the 28th not the 27th but it’s only one extra day. Next season starts on the 4th of April and I assume it will end the 27th or 26th of September.

feliz didnt pitch because he had been used 3 of the last 4 days and that was evident saturday night as he blew a save

Not trying to change anyone’s mind, but I think I heard on ESPN/MLB that every time Pedroia batted clean up, he had a hit in the game. He’s batting clean up today. If stat is true, a bit interesting but not enough to get me to change my pick

who did you end up picking?

Sandoval. Last time they met this year – 2 hits in 4 ABs

Today’s Top Picks of the current Top2500, 113 batters picked overall
Batter, Times Picked, Percentage
Jacoby Ellsbury 581 23.24
Starlin Castro 183 7.32
Troy Tulowitzki 149 5.96
Evan Longoria 130 5.20
Michael Young 121 4.84 (Leader & runner up 3)
Adrian Gonzalez 107 4.28
Andre Ethier 74 2.96
Omar Infante 71 2.84 (DL)
Domonic Brown 65 2.60 (AAA)
Joey Votto 60 2.40 (runner up 1)
Joe Mauer 54 2.16
Dan Uggla 53 2.12
Josh Hamilton 49 1.96
Hunter Pence 34 1.36
Casey Kotchman 33 1.32
No Selection 32 1.28
Jose Reyes 24 0.96 (DL) (runner up 2)
Highest “No Selection”: Pg #9 with streak of 16 back to zero :P
Yesterday’s reset rate was a horrific 40.17% with M.Cuddyer resetting the most
——————————————–
Got Pinched OR 1 AB Wonders
Top2500 saved or reset by PH or defensive switch, 2 ABs or less
J.Reyes INJ 1AB RESET 74: Highest were two 25-gamers
A.McCutchen PH RESET 8: Highest was 19-gamer
D.Barney DEF RESET 2: Both 10-gamers
Dn.Murphy PH SAVED 5: Highest was 15-gamer
——————————————–
Bloggers Group Top2500
UserName, Streak, Page#, Pick
abk1087, 9, 100+, J.Ellsbury
Top2500 Bloggers Reset Yesterday
jonhilliard @ 19 reeset by J.Ellsbury
trixiewright @ 15 reset by B.Butler
Dave55 @ 11 reset by M.Cuddyer
jzlevin @ 10 reset by J.Ellsbury

Wow this is the 1st time I can say I have 4 picks on mlb.com
Beat the Streak Troy Tulowitzki
Home Run Beat the Streak Justin Upton
Odyssey Texas Rangers
Fast Relief Beat the Streak Sergio Santos

CHC/WSH game rained out – make up this Thursday.

I picked in that game too. I’m up to 5 in SFTC. 22 more correct picks and I’ve got $400k.

You donating the other $50K to me then :)
The carryover is 400K but there is also a 50K prize each month. GL & I’ll give you my mailing address for that 50K later this month

I was wondering about that. If I get there, maybe. ;-)

Hey :) wasn’t I the one that got you all playing sftc? Where’s my cut lol

Ellsbury 0-3 up in the 7th & tries to sac bunt but fouls it off. Next pitch single. Hmmm

Wow. Heath Bell just blew a save for the Padres. 4th most picked and cost all that had him.

Looking at that game and the leader board… It certainly appears many people are playing with same strategy I mentioned above after looking at their picks for yesterday & today. If that’s the case, you can’t gain ground on any of those leaders by picking the same closer. In that respect, since the strategy may prove successful, game kinda bites. If you start behind the power curve, catching up will be difficult. But will continue to play for a bit to get a better feel for it

the relief pitcher thing is going to take a little more time because you want to look at who is pitching on that given day and wonder what the chances are the relief pitcher will also be used.

Well, Kung Fu Panda went 0-4. That’s it for me this year. GL ladies and gentlemen. See you next year. Signing off until then

See you on the other side man. Im Still gonna play for the 10k but when that bubble bursts you’ll be able to find me in SFTC.

I’d play for the 10K if I thought I realistically had a chance. But a 10-gamer high simply means “may the force be with you” wasn’t aimed at me ;). Next year, another opportunity & maybe $7M-ish

Hey Lav, if you can send me the stats I will run it tonight. My email is Vinny1979@msn.com. Thanks.

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