Beat the Streak Report: Wednesday, September 22

480x270_HPence.jpg


Oh, hello there …

? Hunter Pence: .500 AVG (11-for-22) lifetime vs. Nationals starter Jason Marquis

? Vladimir Guerrero: .414 AVG (12-for-29) lifetime vs. Angels starter Dan Haren

? Robinson Cano: .455 AVG (5-for-11) lifetime vs. Rays starter Wade Davis

Feeling kinda spicy?

? Jhonny Peralta: .529 AVG (9-for-17) lifetime vs. Royals starter Kyle Davies

You’ll thank me later…

? Ryan Braun: .150 AVG (3-for-20) lifetime vs. Reds starter Johnny Cueto

? Rafael Furcal: .125 AVG (2-for-13) lifetime vs. Padres starter Tim Stauffer

Top MLB streakers

? Matt Holliday: 13 games 

? Joey Votto: 10 games 

Derek Jeter: 10 games 

Trevor Crowe: 8 games 

Carlos Gonzalez: 8 games 

Curtis Granderson: 8 games 

6 Comments

Hi – I’ve been wondering what the odds are on a given day that someone’s streak will continue. In other words, what are the odds that I will “get a hit” today?

To those of you who graciously post the data (The Top2500 data would be great to use I think) each day, would you be able to tell us the percentage of BTSers that got it right yesterday?

Thanks!

Today’s current Top2500 listing. Note that list only includes those with streaks of 28 or greater, totalling 3 players. Anyone shorter streak is mathematically eliminated from cash prizes. 3 different players picked.

Batter, Times Picked, Percentage of 3
Ichiro Suzuki, 1, 33.34% (Leader)
Robinson Cano, 1, 33.33% (2nd)
Joey Votto, 1, 33.33% (3rd)
No Selection, 0, 0.00%
Highest No Selection on page 1 with streak of 23, now eliminated

Bloggers Group Top2500
UserName, Streak, Page#, Pick
Everyone eliminated

Today’s current Top2500 listing. Note that list only includes those with streaks of 28 or greater, totalling 3 players. Anyone shorter streak is mathematically eliminated from cash prizes. 3 different players picked.

Batter, Times Picked, Percentage of 3
Ichiro Suzuki, 1, 33.34% (Leader)
Robinson Cano, 1, 33.33% (2nd)
Joey Votto, 1, 33.33% (3rd)
No Selection, 0, 0.00%
Highest No Selection on page 1 with streak of 23, now eliminated

Bloggers Group Top2500
UserName, Streak, Page#, Pick
Everyone eliminated

@jonbaseball: The success rate varies wildly from day to day. I have seen it as high as 95% and as low as 45% on a given day this year. In general though, the success rate is normally about 75-80%.

My OFFICIAL FINAL 2010 Beat the streak history:
(regular season game)
successful picks – did not play picks – fail picks (O fers)
120 _______________ 10 _________ * ** 39
Of my 119 successful picks:
65 1 hit picks
38 2 hit picks
16 3 hit picks
3 4 hit picks
1 5 hit pick
—————-
*On April 21st I picked Ivan Rodriguez, and he went 0 for 0 but because he pinch hit and hit a sac fly he counts as a fail pick and my streak reset to 0 that night as a result.
**On August 3rd I picked Johnny Damon without knowing that the Tigers had a double header. He went 3 for 9 combined but all 3 hits were in game 2 so I stayed at 0.
My picks have gone 206 for 654 for a .315 average. (not counting sac flys) My picks over the last 4 days are 1 for 17 .059 dropping my average from .322 to .315.
NO more beat the streak picks in the regular season for me, the blogs are dead, my average goes down and i can’t get a bigger streak anyway.
——————–
A-Rod failed to homer and worst of all the A’s blew a 3-1 lead to the struggling White Sox, allowing 3 runs including a steal of home in the last 2 innings.

FINAL RESULTS:

Today’s current Top2500 listing. Note that list only includes those with streaks of 28 or greater, totalling 3 players. Anyone shorter streak is mathematically eliminated from cash prizes. 3 different players picked.

Batter, Times Picked, Percentage of 3
***Ichiro Suzuki, 1, 33.34% (Leader)
XXXRobinson Cano, 1, 33.33% (2nd)
—Joey Votto, 1, 33.33% (3rd)
XXXNo Selection, 0, 0.00%
Highest No Selection on page 1 with streak of 23, now eliminated

Bloggers Group Top2500
UserName, Streak, Page#, Pick
Everyone eliminated

*** = Player succeeded
XXX = Player failed
— = Player did not play

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