Beat the Streak Report: Monday, August 8

Welcome to Week 19 of 26, Streakers. Contrary to popular belief, there’s still plenty to play for in this here Streaking game. New streaks won’t be long enough to compete for the $5.6 million grand prize, but don’t forget that our season winner receives 10 grand in real United States currency.

As of now, that’s still jonroy73 at 40 games. As of nine days from now, it could be current king fatcat3415. As of a couple weeks from now, it could be you. Forty-one is the goal. Get after it.

________________

Monday’s picks:

(Make a BTS pick)

Oh, hello there … 

Ramon Hernandez: .529 (9-for-17) since ’06 vs. Rockies starter Jason Hammel

Troy Tulowitzki: .714 (5-for-7) since ’06 vs. Reds starter Homer Bailey

Andre Ethier: .714 (5-for-7) since ’06 vs. Phillies starter Roy Halladay

David Ortiz: .412 (7-for-17) since ’06 vs. Twins starter Scott Baker

Jacoby Ellsbury: 417 (5-for-12) since ’06 vs. Twins starter Scott Baker


Feeling kinda spicy?

Fred Lewis: .778 (7-for-9) since ’06 vs. Rockies starter Jason Hammel

 

You’ll thank me later …

Adam Jones: .056 (1-for-18) since ’06 vs. White Sox starter John Danks

Alexei Ramirez: .063 (1-for-16) since ’06 vs. Orioles starter Jeremy Guthrie

Joey Votto: .111 (1-for-9) since ’06 vs. Rockies starter Jason Hammel

Dustin Pedroia: .167 (2-for-12) since ’06 vs. Twins starter Scott Baker


Top MLB streakers 

Dan Uggla: 28 games

Ryan Zimmerman: 16 games

Hideki Matsui: 15 games

Yadier Molina: 12 games

Elvis Andrus: 11 games

Yuniesky Betancourt: 10 games


Home Run Beat the Streak pick:

Paul Konerko: 26 home runs this season vs. Orioles starter Jeremy Guthrie

36 comments

  1. LaVolpe

    Mark, if you didn’t manage a data pull last nite, I can run it today with last nite’s results. If you pull the data today then you should be good for tomorrow.

  2. LaVolpe

    Assuming season ends Sep 27th with no extension for 1 game playoffs, any chance of reaching 57 means you need to enter today with a 6-gamer or better: 51 days left including today. Some advice maybe:
    1. Determine absolute minimum days you <b<must play to reach 57. When that number of days reaches the number of days left in the season, then you can no longer afford a rain-out or a pick that did not play
    2. Consider picking only from teams where you can see the line up before games lock. Safest plan.
    3. Consider monitoring weather forecasts and focus on games that are not subject to rain or pick indoor games
    4. Consider picking star players at home games; less likely to be given day off. Fans pay to see the stars
    5. Keep up with injury reports — don’t need to pick someone injured and not playing
    And if eliminated from the 57 & trying for 41, keep the above in mind when you get close to that deadline

    • LaVolpe

      Being under pressure, I agree most of the picks look iffy today. I’m not going to give you my pick based off of my logic but there are some teams to look at. 1) COL – their numbers (small sample size) indicate that game may generate double digit hits vs. CIN. 2) Another option can be to pick from SF vs. PIT (good team vs. struggling team) or 3) possibly CHC vs. WSH where pitcher was hit well last time out & CHC has relatively young, aggressive team.

      • LaVolpe

        Another thing to keep in mind is divisional play between contenders. Those games introduce intentional walks, pitch arounds, and more pinch hitters & pitching changes this time of the year than in early games. Many times the star players see reduced ABs

  3. baseballgirlie13

    I also think picking in the Bos-Min game could be good. Quite a few Sox players hit Baker well. Just a thought. GL everyone and hopefully I can keep my 8 gamer going.

  4. yanksgiantsdevils33

    I started playing the new closers Beat the Streak game that champion 88 announced on Friday. The problem for me is that the closers I pick don’t come in since their team is losing. Any recommendations for a good closer pick? I like the White Sox pick at this point (Sergio Santos).

    • LaVolpe

      Here’s my suggestion & what I am trying the next few days. Pick a series where you think one team will win at least 1 of the games, preferably 2-3 games. Pick the closer. If you were correct, odds are one of the games will bring in the closer. I’m avoiding teams that can be blown out. For example, I made that mistake with HOU/MIL yesterday. MIL won as expected but by such a large margin, closer wasn’t needed.

    • Backrubs

      dont forget brian wilson of SF playing Pitt and JJ Putz of arizona playing houston.
      i dont think you can go wrong with either of these two over the next threedays

  5. vinny1979

    Yanks, I like Santos myself. I think that game is going to be close and he will get a save tonight. I had Feliz last night and he didn’t even play and Adams got the save last night. Was shocked at that. Lav, the season ends the 28th not the 27th but it’s only one extra day. Next season starts on the 4th of April and I assume it will end the 27th or 26th of September.

  6. LaVolpe

    Not trying to change anyone’s mind, but I think I heard on ESPN/MLB that every time Pedroia batted clean up, he had a hit in the game. He’s batting clean up today. If stat is true, a bit interesting but not enough to get me to change my pick

  7. LaVolpe

    Today’s Top Picks of the current Top2500, 113 batters picked overall
    Batter, Times Picked, Percentage
    Jacoby Ellsbury 581 23.24
    Starlin Castro 183 7.32
    Troy Tulowitzki 149 5.96
    Evan Longoria 130 5.20
    Michael Young 121 4.84 (Leader & runner up 3)
    Adrian Gonzalez 107 4.28
    Andre Ethier 74 2.96
    Omar Infante 71 2.84 (DL)
    Domonic Brown 65 2.60 (AAA)
    Joey Votto 60 2.40 (runner up 1)
    Joe Mauer 54 2.16
    Dan Uggla 53 2.12
    Josh Hamilton 49 1.96
    Hunter Pence 34 1.36
    Casey Kotchman 33 1.32
    No Selection 32 1.28
    Jose Reyes 24 0.96 (DL) (runner up 2)
    Highest “No Selection”: Pg #9 with streak of 16 back to zero 😛
    Yesterday’s reset rate was a horrific 40.17% with M.Cuddyer resetting the most
    ——————————————–
    Got Pinched OR 1 AB Wonders
    Top2500 saved or reset by PH or defensive switch, 2 ABs or less
    J.Reyes INJ 1AB RESET 74: Highest were two 25-gamers
    A.McCutchen PH RESET 8: Highest was 19-gamer
    D.Barney DEF RESET 2: Both 10-gamers
    Dn.Murphy PH SAVED 5: Highest was 15-gamer
    ——————————————–
    Bloggers Group Top2500
    UserName, Streak, Page#, Pick
    abk1087, 9, 100+, J.Ellsbury
    Top2500 Bloggers Reset Yesterday
    jonhilliard @ 19 reeset by J.Ellsbury
    trixiewright @ 15 reset by B.Butler
    Dave55 @ 11 reset by M.Cuddyer
    jzlevin @ 10 reset by J.Ellsbury

  8. yanksgiantsdevils33

    Wow this is the 1st time I can say I have 4 picks on mlb.com
    Beat the Streak Troy Tulowitzki
    Home Run Beat the Streak Justin Upton
    Odyssey Texas Rangers
    Fast Relief Beat the Streak Sergio Santos

      • LaVolpe

        You donating the other $50K to me then 🙂
        The carryover is 400K but there is also a 50K prize each month. GL & I’ll give you my mailing address for that 50K later this month

    • LaVolpe

      Looking at that game and the leader board… It certainly appears many people are playing with same strategy I mentioned above after looking at their picks for yesterday & today. If that’s the case, you can’t gain ground on any of those leaders by picking the same closer. In that respect, since the strategy may prove successful, game kinda bites. If you start behind the power curve, catching up will be difficult. But will continue to play for a bit to get a better feel for it

      • Backrubs

        the relief pitcher thing is going to take a little more time because you want to look at who is pitching on that given day and wonder what the chances are the relief pitcher will also be used.

  9. LaVolpe

    Well, Kung Fu Panda went 0-4. That’s it for me this year. GL ladies and gentlemen. See you next year. Signing off until then

    • 00liber

      See you on the other side man. Im Still gonna play for the 10k but when that bubble bursts you’ll be able to find me in SFTC.

      • LaVolpe

        I’d play for the 10K if I thought I realistically had a chance. But a 10-gamer high simply means “may the force be with you” wasn’t aimed at me ;). Next year, another opportunity & maybe $7M-ish

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s