May 2008

5-16-08 Results

-To all,

 

 

Wow…a bad day came to a terrible end! 

 

About 8 days ago, I had an 8-game hit streak and a pair of 6-game hit streaks.  Then, that weakened down to a pair of 7-game hit streaks.  That ran up to a pair of 10-game hit streaks.  Then, Chipper Jones was on deck when the Braves lost 3-2 to the Pirates and I was reduced to just 1 11-game hit streak.  Now, that strong structure I had built up, has been completely obliterated with the results that came in today on the hitters front:

 

1)  Albert Pujols  (Cardinals)  (3):  Done  (0 for 4, streak snapped at 3 games)
2)  Hanley Ramirez  (Marlins)  (12):  Done  (0 for 5, streak snapped at 12 games)
3)  Garrett Atkins  (Rockies)  (1):  Done  (2 for 4, streak extended to 2 games)

 

I guess what is most frustrating of all is that the Marlins and Rockies were on the same tier today and Atkins had the higher batting average overall.  I guess I let team play recently factor in too much, since the Marlins had been playing well and the Rockies continue to play poorly.  But in the end, each team collected 7 hits. 

Another deciding factor was that Hanley Ramirez was 2 for 5 in his career off Tomko, while Atkins had no career data against Bonderman.  While looking at the remainder of the postseason series, I might want to just look at overall success lately, especially since we do not have much at stake now, since our highest pick tomorrow will be riding a paltry 2-game hit streak. 

 

On the Home Run side of things, we found some success, but it still does not offset the great losses suffered on the hitters front, but just prevents a complete washout. 

Speaking of washouts, we lost J.D. Drew today in the rainout and raining out on a 0 game hit streak is a complete waste, since there was nothing to preserve anyway.

Then again, Conor Jackson gave me similar output in actually playing, going 0 for 4, to keep that streak at 0 games as well.

 

It was Dan Uggla who deliverred for me with a solo Home Run in his first AB and went on to go 3 for 3 with a walk on the night. 

 

Looking at the Leaderboard side of the hitters front where there was lots of acivity going on, we see the battlefield decimated.  14 of the 25 players had a streak of at least 11 games today and 13 of those 14 had streaks of 29 games or longer, but only ONE of those 14 survived into tomorrow.  Hecks44 used Joe Mauer, who went 1 for 5, to extend his streak to 31 games.  Everyone else on the board gets shocked back down to 0.  The only other happy soul on the leaderboard today is jerrymohr who saw a ton of people charging straight at him with just a 3 game lead over the nearest competitor, but all of a sudden is in much safer company now, with a week’s lead over the closest neighbor.

 

For everyone else, today was a miserable day indeed!  :(

 

In the real world of MLB though, 2 players had phenomenal offensive performances:

     1)  Josh Hamilton  (Texas Rangers):  went 5 for 5 with 2 HR, 5 RBI, 4 Runs Scored, and 1 BB in a 16-8 win over the Astros, which has to be comforting after blowing an 8-2 lead by the 6th inning.

     2)  Jayson Werth  (Philadelphia Phillies):  came within 1 Home Run of the Home Run Cycle  (Solo HR, 2-Run Shot, 3-Run Shot, and Grand Slam in the same game.)  Werth just needed that 2-Run shot, but still finished the day with a franchise-tying 8 RBI’s!

  

And finally, we conclude with the very rare occurrence of having the winning and losing pitcher of the same game, have the same last name!  The Rangers’ winning pitcher Wright improved to 3-1, while the Astros losing pitcher Wright dropped to 2-1.

 

At least the rain has finally stopped.  But I find it pretty ironic that this first day of Interleague Play coincides with the first, truly bad day of the Beat the Streak season.

I knew those negative memories were not ill-conceived!

 

 

-From, John

 

5-16-08 Selections

Today is not a great day, since it has been pouring rain, which eliminates any wiffleball for the day.

However, the more important reason, today is not a good day, is that it is the beginning of Interleague Play!

 

Interleague Play always poses a variety of problems for making educated selections, since most players have not faced the other team much in their careers.  Also, the 2008 combinations of players have not faced the other combo at all!

This fact would explain the high concentration of Derrek Lee Selections on Beat the Streak today, as I only found the Cubs to be a 2nd tier team to choose hitters from.

In fact, some high streaks were lost today, as a result of Lee going 0 for 4.  A 36, 34, 33, 11,, and 29 game hit streak alone today was lost on the leaderboards, not to mention the, most likely, countless 10-20 game streaks that were lost, who are not on the leaderboard.

As an early guess, I will predict that 8% of total users picked Derrek Lee today.

 

As for my slate of selections, I used:

     1)  Hanley Ramirez  (Marlins)  to protect my 12-game hit streak. 

            A)  Ramirez recorded an 0 for 3, with 1 walk, a few days ago, which leads me to believe his next 0 for ?, will not occur right now. 

            B)  As a team, the Marlins are a top-tier choice to pick hitters from. 

            C)  This pick also has strong support from the leaderboards, featuring 5 substantial streaks also on the line with Hanley Ramirez at 34, 33, 32, 31, and 29 games apiece.  Hanley has been the most consistent hitter on the Marlins

             D)  Another possible good pick on the Marlins is Luis Gonzalez who actually has strong career #’s against Tomko at 10 for 21.  Problems though are his .276 batting average and only 98 AB’s this year, compared to 156 for Hanley Ramirez.

 

2)  Albert Pujols  (Cardinals)  to protect my secondary 3-game hit streak:  The Cardinals are only a 2nd tier selection, but for a secondary pick, it is ok.

 

3)  Garrett Atkins  (Rockies)  to protect my tertiary 1-game hit streak: 

             A)  Nagging injuries and off days have been robbing this tertiary account of getting back to any sort of respectability.  I have had at least 3 games in the past 5 days where my selected player would not play, keeping my streak at just 1 game or even 0 games, earlier on.

             B)  As such, decided to go with a dependable starter on a top tier team today, the Rockies.  It was really a toss-up between Atkins and Holliday,but I decided to go for Atkins, since Holliday would be a little more tilted towards power, while Atkins is a little more tilted towards average

 

On the Home Run side of things, none of my three streaks are intact right now.  They all stand at 0 games. 

I do not have as well built a strategy for the Home Run side as the hitters game, so I will just list my three mashers for today:

            1)  J.D. Drew  (Red Sox)

            2)  Dan Uggla  (Marlins)

            3)  Conor Jackson  (Diamondbacks)

 

Good luck everyone today with your picks!

 

-From, John

 

 

PS:  The Mets-Yankees game has been postponed due to plain rain.  I would anticipate a doubleheader either Saturday or Sunday, which weakens my chances of securing tickets for a day game!

I would guess Saturday would be the doubleheader, because then you keep the theme of 2 night games for the series, whereas if the doubleheader is Saturday, you only squeeze out 1 night game.

 

Beat the Streak and MLB.com Survivor Community Introduction!

-Hi all,

 

 

Since this is my first post, I thought I should introduce myself first.

My name is John and you probably know my last name, if you have participated in MLB.com Survivor last year. 

I won the 2007 MLB.com Postseason Survivor tournament with a record-setting 17-game win streak that did not end until Game 3 of the World Series! 

That was not my first year playing though.  I have been playing that and Beat the Streak since 2003, although I took a small break from Beat the Streak last year. 

I also have played Beat the Streak:  Home Run Edition sporadically since its inception, but this year is my first full year in action there!

In case you are curious, my records for the three contests are as follows:

     1)  Beat the Streak:  22-game hit streak in 2005

     2)  Beat the Streak:  Home Run Edition:  3 or 4  runs of 2 games this year

     3)  MLB.com Survivor:  A 16-game run in 2006 on the old format, which left me with just 2 other people, battling it out for the right to go on to the Tournament of Champions!  All 3 of us lost that day and I was eliminated on the 18th day, while the remaining pair went on for another 4 or 5 days of both winning or both losing before a winner was crowned.

I also had a trio of 16-game win streaks during the regular season in 2007, slotting me three times on the leaderboard!

 

I stumbled onto this site through the  “Dig In”  Article that MLB.com.

 

I then searched the blogs for a  “Beat the Streak blog,”  but was shocked to not find any!

 

So that is the aim of this blog. 

 

To be the OFFICIAL community of the players of Beat the Streak, Beat the Streak:  Home Run Edition, and MLB.com Survivor  (whenever it starts.) 

 

I will put up my analysis and thoughts of the top 3 players/teams, where I think the best picks are, per day.  Obviously they will not be put up until after picks lock, but it can be a way to compare various angles to see which strategies work and which don’t. 

I will save today’s analysis for another post though, since this one is long enough to begin with. 

 

I also want to leave this post’s comments section for any suggestions you might have, on improving this blog to better serve the BTS community! 

 

The URL to this page is http://beat-the-streak.MLBlogs.com

 

By the way, I have no idea if there is any way to further customize the page beyond the three design choices, so if this blog looks bland to you, comment me as to a way to improve it!

 

Finally, I have no idea when MLB.com Survivor is starting this year.  My records tell me last year started around May 6-7, so I have no idea what the holdup is this year.  Whether this means another format change is beyond me?

 

Happy Posting!

 

 

-From, John

 

Beat the Streak and MLB.com Survivor Community Introduction!

-Hi all,

 

 

Since this is my first post, I thought I should introduce myself first.

My name is John and you probably know my last name, if you have participated in MLB.com Survivor last year. 

I won the 2007 MLB.com Postseason Survivor tournament with a record-setting 17-game win streak that did not end until Game 3 of the World Series! 

That was not my first year playing though.  I have been playing that and Beat the Streak since 2003, although I took a small break from Beat the Streak last year. 

I also have played Beat the Streak:  Home Run Edition sporadically since its inception, but this year is my first full year in action there!

In case you are curious, my records for the three contests are as follows:

     1)  Beat the Streak:  22-game hit streak in 2005

     2)  Beat the Streak:  Home Run Edition:  3 or 4  runs of 2 games this year

     3)  MLB.com Survivor:  A 16-game run in 2006 on the old format, which left me with just 2 other people, battling it out for the right to go on to the Tournament of Champions!  All 3 of us lost that day and I was eliminated on the 18th day, while the remaining pair went on for another 4 or 5 days of both winning or both losing before a winner was crowned.

I also had a trio of 16-game win streaks during the regular season in 2007, slotting me three times on the leaderboard!

 

I stumbled onto this site through the  “Dig In”  Article that MLB.com.

 

I then searched the blogs for a  “Beat the Streak blog,”  but was shocked to not find any!

 

So that is the aim of this blog. 

 

To be the OFFICIAL community of the players of Beat the Streak, Beat the Streak:  Home Run Edition, and MLB.com Survivor  (whenever it starts.) 

 

I will put up my analysis and thoughts of the top 3 players/teams, where I think the best picks are, per day.  Obviously they will not be put up until after picks lock, but it can be a way to compare various angles to see which strategies work and which don’t. 

I will save today’s analysis for another post though, since this one is long enough to begin with. 

 

I also want to leave this post’s comments section for any suggestions you might have, on improving this blog to better serve the BTS community! 

 

The URL to this page is http://beat-the-streak.MLBlogs.com

 

By the way, I have no idea if there is any way to further customize the page beyond the three design choices, so if this blog looks bland to you, comment me as to a way to improve it!

 

Finally, I have no idea when MLB.com Survivor is starting this year.  My records tell me last year started around May 6-7, so I have no idea what the holdup is this year.  Whether this means another format change is beyond me?

 

Happy Posting!

 

 

-From, John

 

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