Beat the Streak Report: Wednesday, April 27
Matt Kemp has been one of the season’s most dangerous rakebots, delighting Dodgers fans, Rihanna haters and BTS pickers alike with his nightly heroism in the batter’s box.
The multitalented jet-ski racer/destroyer of baseballs disappointed on Tuesday, however, snapping a modest six-game hit streak with an 0-for-4 against the Marlins and resetting the odometer on 8.8 percent of all streaks.
Trust us, Streakers, this one hurts. We were working on a little season-high run of our own, and Chris Volstad looked like a pretty tasty matchup. That dude hands out hits like they’re mini American flags at a Fourth of July parade.
Three hours later: Strikeout, flyout, popout, groundout. Cool! He hit for the out cycle! (Note: not cool at all).
At least those of you who lost with Kemp can take solace in the fact that your fellow Streakers nailed the next six most popular choices. Nope, no solace provided at all. We remain unsolsified. Or is it unsolacized?
The lesson, as always: Pick Ethier.
(Make a BTS pick)
Oh, hello there …
• Nick Swisher: .538 AVG (7-for-13) since ’06 vs. White Sox starter Mark Buehrle
• Carl Crawford: .395 AVG (15-for-38) since ’06 vs. Orioles starter Jeremy Guthrie
• Jay Bruce: .545 AVG (6-for-11) since ’06 vs. Brewers starter Yovani Gallardo
• Jacoby Ellsbury: .393 AVG (11-for-28) since ’06 vs. Orioles starter Jeremy Guthrie
• Robinson Cano: .455 AVG (5-for-11) since ’06 vs. White Sox starter Mark Buehrle
• Justin Upton: .444 AVG (4-for-9) since ’06 vs. Phillies starter Cole Hamels
Feeling kinda spicy?
• Luke Scott: .474 AVG (9-for-19) since ’06 vs. Red Sox starter Josh Beckett
You’ll thank me later …
• Kelly Johnson: .174 AVG (4-for-23) since ’06 vs. Phillies starter Cole Hamels
• Hanley Ramirez: .182 AVG (2-for-11) since ’06 vs. Dodgers starter Chad Billingsley
• Michael Bourn: .167 AVG (4-for-24) since ’06 vs. Cardinals starter Kyle Lohse
• Jose Reyes: .176 AVG (2-for-12) since ’06 vs. Nationals starter Tom Gorzelanny
• David DeJesus: .071 AVG (1-for-14) since ’06 vs. Angels starter Dan Haren
Kiss bit the big one with Joseph Votto last night, leaving cleopatravijal alone atop the standings pyramid at 24 games. You’re almost halfway there, cleo. Just remember the old saying: Denial is more than picking Carl Crawford every day.
Top MLB streakers
Andre Ethier: 23 games
Alex Gordon: 19 games
Jeff Francoeur: 15 games
Johnny Damon: 13 games
Brian Roberts: 12 games
(Make a BTS pick)
Rain will PLAGUE Wednesdays games even worse than we’ve seen recently.
TB/MIN (60%), COL/CHC (80%), KC/CLE (100%), SEA/DET (95%), and SF/PIT (65%) are all at risk. There’s a lesser chance for LAD/FLA, CWS/NYY, NYM/WAS, and BOS/BAL.
Staying indoors today it seems
Ethier? Guesstimates on when he’ll go 0-fer? My guess will be during the SD series. Why? I think a divisional game will treat him with more fear/respect than non-divisional. Throw in a good lefty pitcher and maybe Friday is the day: 0-2 with 2 walks maybe. Just a guess
The ex-leader that picks DL players may want to fill the next 9 days with Casey Blake. Per rotoworld he’s headed for the DL
I originally had Blake picked for yesterday but switched to Carroll. Let’s see if Tony Gwynn, Jr does any better today. I’m sticking with the Dodgers since the game is being televised this afternoon and will make the game more interesting to me. Avoiding Ethier since he is 0-6 against Sanchez. Also, Gwynn is leading off and will have maximum ABs.
That didn’t go well. 😦
lol, making a pick just because the game is on TV has to be 1 of the dumbest reasons to make a pick.
And when was Jamey Carroll a starter before this year?
There were certainly better picks than Carroll for Wednesday!
So yesterday I managed to convince my brother in law to change his pick to Berkman from ROBO-Kemp and it worked out for him. Did I get a hit, noooo.
But I guess I was doomed from the start thinking I had Theriot in and actually had Rasmus.
Anyways Im going with the Vottobot tonight. Lefty-Righty matchup, hits well vs Yovani and 0-fer last night.
lol, what makes a hitter a bot?
I’m going with Robinson Cano to get to 3.
Highest No selection page 1 with a streak of 19 heading right back to 0.
I was thinking of Cano also, but his splits against lefties had me concerned. Will Buehrle be the good pitcher like 3 games ago (allowed just 2 hits) or the bad pitcher seen in last 2 games (allowing avg of 9 hits)?
took lance berkman today. hes hitting well the last week and j.a. happ has struggled so far this year
The only concern I had about Berkman is that he may sit against lefties at times. If this was a day game after nite game, I’d say he definitely would sit. But being a nite game, LaRussa will probably play him.
i know but i feel with pujols hurting larussa wont be willing to sit one of his other power bats
Probably. FYI: Pujols is playing today.
Wednesday’s Top Picks of the current Top2500,
152 Batters picked overall
Batter, Times Picked, Percentage
Robinson Cano 338 13.66
Miguel Cabrera 160 6.46
Denard Span 139 5.62
Troy Tulowitzki 137 5.54
Matt Holliday 119 4.81
Joey Votto 106 4.28
Jay Bruce 106 4.28
Michael Young 88 3.56
Andre Ethier 86 3.47
Pablo Sandoval 82 3.31
Placido Polanco 74 2.99
Matt Kemp 52 2.1 (LEADER)
No Selection 52 2.1
Dustin Pedroia 39 1.58 (2nd)
Victor Martinez 1 0.04 (3rd)
Highest “No Selection” 😛 pg# 1 with streak of 19 back to zero.
Yesterday’s Top2500 Reset rate was 25.92% with ROBO-Kemp reseting the most.
Got Pinched OR 1 AB Wonders
TOP2500 saved or reset by PHA (going to include any pinch hitters and double switch, 1 AB or More)
R Martin NYY, RESET 16, highest was 14gamer
C Gonzalez COL, RESET 7, highest was 12gamer(DOUBLE SWITCH)
Pujols(23) pinch-hit but was walked in the ninth.
Bloggers Group Top2500
UserName, Streak, Page#, Rank, Pick
‘www.jew, 18, pg 2, 21, Sizemore (PICKED 20X)
Jagx, 13, pg 12, 278, M Young (PICKED 88X)
levinc, 10, pg 47, 849, M Young (PICKED 88X)
trixiewright, 10, pg 53, 849, C Headley (PICKED 1X)
backrubs, 9, pg 59, 1353, M Holliday (PICKED 119X)
Bloggers Reset Yesterday
Dodgerlu RESET BY RASMUS
GL to all
Wow, trixiewright was the ONLY player who picked Headley on Wednesday!
Mark, you’re scaring me 🙂 For the last 3 days, we’ve both picked the same games & in two of those the same players. Though I chickened out yesterday & changed from Holliday to Cano. But let the luck continue… For me, 3 days, 3 1st AB hits
so does that make us both smart then. maybe you are smarter.
I cant get past 4 this season.
Just lucky, not smart. But not as lucky as those 3 weeks ahead of us
I think your batting average overall is a better measure of if you are making smart picks or not.
You have many more data points to work with (more AB’s than days) and a different distribution does not affect the batting average.
IMO, I think getting hits off the starter is a better measure. No one makes picks thinking no hits off the starter but instead, getting 1 or 2 hits off the relievers. I have a a very low percentage of 1st hit off relievers
Hey, I just got a first-inning hit myself from Polanco. That sure beats the no-inning hit I got from Kemp yesterday…
Plac is now 4-4. Great pick.
Tulo pickers need to wait another day. CHC/COL PPD and no doubleheader tomorrow for that game but there is one for another game.
Min Tb double dip tomorrow.
Hmmm, one of our blogger’s group top streakers just got pinched, and in a bad way
It’s a shame when ur player gets the call and your team is down 7-0 late in game.
I was pinched twice last year, once I was at 3 and Pudge hit a Sac fly in the 8th as a Nat, but the other I was at 9 and the now retired Manny Ramirez pinch hit in the 5th as a Dodger and struck out. Despite being mid game he was removed and there were no more chances. I was so pissed!
There was a time like that for Manny last year that I remember, but it was in the 7th Inning.
He got ejected for arguing on a called 3rd strike.
Robinson Cano 1st inning home run, onto 3!
Amd with that double by Grady, Jew moves on to tomorrow.
up to 5 with berkman’s 6th inning single
And the BTS gods rested; no major sacrifices. Should be a really low reset rate when all the games are in
No it won’t be a very high reset but we do lose #2 with Pedro’s 0-fer.
Alex Gordon’s streak has ended at 19.